振興美國晶片製造業就對了?學者提異見

作者 : George Leopold,EE Times特約記者

為振興美國本地半導體產業的立法活動突顯了一個地緣政治上的現實:美國在晶片技術上的領先地位已經動搖。

在美國,旨在取得聯邦政府為振興本地晶片製造產業之資金補助與賦稅減免的相關遊說活動越來越積極,因為美國國會參議院已經開始討論資金籌措水準以及該如何分研究經費。

而儘管振興美國晶片製造業是獲得共和、民主兩大政黨支持的政策,有觀察家指出,聚焦於下一代晶片技術研發會是比補助新晶圓廠更有用的投資。至於美國國防部的電子復興計畫(Electronics Resurgence Initiative),雖將目光專注在摩爾定律(Moore’s Law)微縮之外的技術,卻更著重在武器應用上。

無論是哪一種方式,為振興美國本地半導體產業的立法遊說活動都突顯了一個地緣政治上的現實:美國在晶片技術上的領先地位已經動搖。為此,包括美國半導體產業協會(SIA)、美國資訊科技與創新基金會(ITIF)等產業組織近日都在加緊努力,推動像是CHIPS等法案盡速通過立法程序。

「半導體技術創新與製造所需的支出、複雜度與微縮不斷增加,意味著沒有單一國家或企業能獨力完成;」ITIF全球創新策略副總裁Stephen Ezell在一份報告中指出:「面臨來自中國的挑戰,美國半導體產業界的團結合作至關重要。」

SIA也在另一份研究報告中表示:「隨著製造活動的減少、萎縮,美國半導體產業將在維持領先地位上面臨挑戰。而製程技術、架構與材料的演進,對於開發實現人工智慧或量子運算的下一代半導體元件至關重要。」

根據SIA統計,目前在美國共有70座營運中的商用晶圓廠,這些製造據點佔據美國本土晶圓產能的44.3%,大多數被分類為「前段」(front-end)晶片製造;而目前美國晶圓廠的產量在全球晶片產量中佔據的比例僅12%,該數字在1990年為37%。

SIA在報告中主張,「有力的聯邦激勵措施」將能在美國本地催生至少19個「主要半導體製造據點」,這會需要總金額高達500億美元的本地製造業補助金與稅收減免。同時ITIF則倡導西方國家之間的團結;Ezell指出:「志同道合的盟國應該攜手展開貿易以及公平的經濟競爭,並且以強化各自半導體產業競爭力的方式合作。」

但有部分觀察家指出,對製造業的強調是被誤導了。例如美國塔夫茨大學佛萊契法律暨外交學院(Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University)副教授Chris Miller就表示:「更多的財務激勵無疑能鼓勵更多本地製造,但問題在於這是否為定義目標的正確方法?」

他指出:「顯然在美國建立更強大的半導體製造基地對整體生態系有利,但如果長期必須分配資金來推動美國晶片產業,就不確定是否將錢花在補助晶圓廠上能符合最佳邊際效益。」

Miller以1980年代美國業者退出DRAM市場為例,當時並沒有針對美國記憶體製造商提供的補助,而像是英特爾(Intel)等公司退出記憶體領域、專注於微處理器等新興市場;他指出,英特爾等公司「聚焦更高價值的產品,鞏固了美國在晶片領域數十年的領導地位。當我們思索強化美國在科技領域的地位,需要想想我們的競爭優勢在哪裡。」

在一篇近日刊登於《紐約時報》(New York Times)的專欄文章中,Miller指出美國總統川普(Trump)政府針對中國電信設備業者華為(Huawei)的「斬首」行動,是一個美國晶片強權地位正在削弱的徵兆;他在文章中寫道:「華府的手段只是說明美國過去的成功,而不是未來的發展軌道。」

此外他也警告,針對中國業者採取的強硬貿易措施可能會適得其反;「針對華為的行動只有在其他國家仰賴美國技術的情況下才會成功,但是現在它們有了多元化的動機。」

 

編譯:Judith Cheng

(參考原文:Fab Emphasis Questioned as U.S. Chip Lobby Sounds Off,By George Leopold )

 

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  1. Charles Chen表示:

    IC 多元化是個事實, 產業觸鬚也以多角化; 法律專家提投資最佳化, 這是美國資金運用的問題, 美國推 QE, 只想從
    Capital 產業賺錢, 而忽略中共拿美金胡亂投資現象 ! 美國該回到自由陣營聯手投資, 美日英台北歐好好合作, 德以無任何戒心助長中國不可取 !

    IC 多元化應以自動車/IoT/IT/Commuication 所有重要高價值的 IC 全面合作, 最好從研發和投資雙向大規模合作為最佳化的答案著手 !

    1. Charles Chen表示:

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